Alabama poll shows big shakeup in Moore vs. Jones

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Voters polled by Fox News in Alabama revealed that Democrat Doug Jones has a 10-point lead over Republican Roy Moore.

“Greater party loyalty plus higher interest in the election among Democrats combined with more enthusiasm among Jones supporters gives him the advantage in the race to fill the U.S. Senate seat previously held by U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions,” according to a Fox News Poll of Alabama voters, conducted Thursday through Sunday.

The results show that Jones could receive 50 percent to Moore’s 40 percent, with 1-in-10 undecided (8 percent) or supporting another candidate (2 percent) in the special election on Tuesday.

“It is impossible to know who will show up to vote in a special election to fill a seat in the middle of a term in an off-year,” according to the report, which also points out that December is not typically a time for elections. However, the Alabama race for Senate is anything but typical.

Accusations of sexual misconduct against Moore, which emerged Nov. 9, have plagued the candidate. He has repeatedly denied accusations that he pursued teenage girls romantically when in his 30s; after the GOP initially pulled its support, the Party ultimately reinstated it.

By a 6-point margin, Alabama voters believe the allegations against Moore are true (39-33 percent), the poll revealed. They were more evenly divided last month, believing the accusations by just 1 point (38-37 percent). About one quarter, 27 percent, feel it is too soon to say or have no opinion.

Among Republicans, 13 percent believe the accusations are true, 60 percent say they aren’t, and 26 percent are unsure. In November, it was 13-62 percent (26 percent unsure).

Voters surveyed indicate Jones had an eight-point lead last month. In the new poll, he’s up by six points among registered voters.

Among just the 46 percent of Alabama voters who are “extremely” interested in the race, the Democrat’s lead widens to 53-40 percent.

“Jones’s lead comes mostly from nonwhites, younger voters, and women. He’s the choice of nonwhites by 76 points (83-7 percent), by 31 points among voters under age 45 (59-28), and by 20 among women (54-34). That jumps to 46 points among women under age 45 (67-21 percent),” according to Fox News.

Voters said that a candidate’s “strong moral character” is more important than how he will vote in the Senate (48-33 percent).

“For those who say moral character is more important, Jones tops Moore by 60-30 percent.  Moore is preferred among those prioritizing how the candidate will vote in the Senate by a narrower 54-38 percent,” according to Fox.

“Moore might prevail if only the people who typically vote in Alabama elections turn out Tuesday, which is often what happens in special elections,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducted the Fox News Poll with Republican counterpart Daron Shaw.

“But this appears to be a special, special election with blacks and young voters animated by a caustic Republican candidate and the chance of winning a statewide election with national implications, and at the same time some Republicans and many moderates are turned off by Moore, too,” he noted.

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