Moody’s Analytics has correctly predicted the presidential winner every election cycle since 1980. Their constructed predictor model is based upon on a two-year change in economic data in home prices, income growth, and gasoline prices. Essentially, three variables that have a direct effect on the average Americans’s life. And based on the calculated data, the predicted winner according to the nonpartisan group will be Hillary Clinton.
“Things that affect marginal voter behavior most significantly are things that the average American is going to run into on an almost daily basis,” Head Analyst Dan White told NPR. “We are currently in the largest decline in gas prices we’ve had going back to World War II,” White said, indicating declined gas prices usually point to the incumbent Democratic party nominee’s favor.
And for the group’s estimated electoral vote outcome? 332 electoral votes for Hillary, 206 for Donald Trump. The oldest prediction model, created at Yale by economics professor Ray Fair, disagrees.
"BUILD THE WALL" bumper stickers now on sale. (BUY NOW)
If you would like to receive Breaking News text alerts on a smartphone or tablet, download the DML APP which is completely FREE and easy to use. Go to the Google Play Store or the IOS App Store and search for DML APP. Be sure to keep the app’s notifications setting on. Another way to receive alerts is to text to 40404 the following message: follow @realdennislynch (be sure to put a space between the word follow and the @ symbol).
To see more stories like this, sign up below for Dennis Michael Lynch’s email newsletter.
Sign up to get breaking news alerts from Dennis Michael Lynch.
FBI Investigates Virginia Gov. Who Has Clinton Tie