Granting amnesty to nearly 800,000 DACA recipients would result in a “guaranteed” surge of illegal immigration at the U.S.-Mexico border that could reach up to one million border-crossings, according to Kansas Secretary of State and gubernatorial candidate Kris Kobach.

In an interview on SiriusXM’s Breitbart News Sunday, Kobach warned President Donald Trump against negotiating a deal to give illegal aliens shielded from deportation by Obama’s Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program amnesty, saying such a plan would trigger a massive border surge.

“And there will be a surge, it is guaranteed. If there is a DACA amnesty, there will be a massive surge of hundreds of thousands, if not more than a million, new illegal aliens,” said Kobach, recalling how an amnesty program in 1986 ended up bringing in 2.7 million migrants.

At the time, Congress and President Reagan’s administration were shocked by the unexpected numbers of immigrants who then began demanding amnesty, Kobach said. “What happens when you grant amnesty is immediately people flood across the border because they want to falsely claim that they were already here and get the new amnesty or they want to at least get here and wait for the next amnesty,” he explained.

Kobach further warned that an amnesty deal for DACA illegal aliens has the potential to trigger a border surge that could triple the current level of border-crossings. Under Trump, illegal crossings have ramped back up to Obama-era levels due to border wall construction being stalled in the prototype stage for months.

According to data from the Migration Policy Institute, previous border surges from amnesty programs have brought hundreds of thousands across the U.S.-Mexico border:

While the flow of Unaccompanied Alien Children (UACs) has been climbing steadily since 2012, a dramatic surge has taken place in the last six months, with the Rio Grande Valley in South Texas as the principal place of entry. The Border Patrol there has converted entire stations to house unaccompanied minors and families.

According to the Border Patrol, apprehensions of unaccompanied children increased from 16,067 in fiscal year (FY) 2011 to 24,481 in FY 2012 and 38,833 in FY 2013. During the first eight months of FY 2014, 47,017 such children were apprehended by the Border Patrol. If the influx continues apace—and it shows no signs of slowing—the administration predicts that by the end of the fiscal year on September 30, totals could reach 90,000.

Ninety-eight percent of unaccompanied minors currently arriving at the border are from Honduras (28 percent), Mexico (25 percent), Guatemala (24 percent), and El Salvador (21 percent). This breakdown represents a significant shift: prior to 2012, more than 75 percent of UACs were from Mexico.

Earlier this week, Trump said that negotiations for a DACA amnesty are “probably dead” after Democrats’ showed their unwillingness to cut legal immigration and bar employers from hiring illegal aliens over U.S. citizens.

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