National Hurricane Center puts out dual warnings for Jose & Maria

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The National Hurricane Center has issued two advisories for Hurricane Jose, which is closing in on the East Coast of the United States, and Hurricane Maria, which is set to hit the Caribbean as it tries to recover from the damage caused by Hurricane Irma.

The full advisories are below, followed by two charts showing the path of each storm (scroll to bottom).

Here are the short form advisories:

JOSE has maximum sustained winds of 85 mph

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Fenwick Island to Sandy Hook
* Delaware Bay South
* East Rockaway Inlet to Plymouth
* Block Island
* Martha’s Vineyard
* Nantucket

MARIA has maximum sustained winds of 110 mph
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Martinique
* St. Lucia
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 52A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

…NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
JOSE…
…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.5N 71.2W
ABOUT 270 MI…440 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 380 MI…610 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Fenwick Island to Sandy Hook
* Delaware Bay South
* East Rockaway Inlet to Plymouth
* Block Island
* Martha’s Vineyard
* Nantucket

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina
northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 71.2 West. Jose is moving toward
the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected
to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is
expected on Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of
Jose is forecast to pass well offshore of the Outer Banks of North
Carolina today, pass well east of the Delmarva peninsula tonight and
Tuesday, and pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of
days, however, Jose is forecast to remain a hurricane through
Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The minimum central pressure based on NOAA and Air Force data is 976
mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by Tuesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut,
southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts, including
Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket through Wednesday. Jose is also
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along
the mid-Atlantic coast, and from southeast New York to coastal
Maine. This rainfall could cause isolated flooding.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
——————————————————————-

FOR MARIA

BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 AM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

…HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS MARIA INTENSIFYING…
…EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.6N 59.7W
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 120 MI…195 KM ESE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH…175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…967 MB…28.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of St. Lucia has issued a Hurricane Warning for St.
Lucia.

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning for St. Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Martinique
* St. Lucia

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and the Dominican
Republic should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 59.7 West. Maria is moving
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion
with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday night.
On the forecast track, the center of Maria will move across the
Leeward Islands late today and tonight, and then over the extreme
northeastern Caribbean Sea Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph
(175 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is currently a Category 2
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional
rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Maria
is expected to become a dangerous major hurricane before it moves
through the Leeward Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 967 mb (28.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Hurricane conditions are first expected within portions of
the Leeward Islands by late today, with tropical storm conditions
beginning during the next several hours. Hurricane conditions are
possible within the hurricane watch area by Tuesday, with tropical
storm conditions possible tonight. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the tropical storm watch area through tonight.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 5 to 7 feet
above normal tide levels near where the center of Maria moves
across the Leeward Islands.

RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches across the
central and southern Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the
U.S. and British Virgin Islands, through Wednesday night. Maria is
also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over the remaining
northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to Anguilla, as well as the
Windward Islands and Barbados. Rainfall on all of these islands
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

ARRIVAL TIMES FOR HURRICANES:

Jose

Maria

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