As the most reliable and balanced news aggregation service on the internet, DML News offers the following opinion editorial written by Brad Bannon and published by TheHill.com:

Brett Kavanaugh is on the Supreme Court but the jury is still out on the electoral impact of his bruising battle for confirmation. Republicans are celebrating their victory now but Democrats might be throwing the party on Nov. 6.

An NPR and PBS survey from three days after the testimony of Christine Blasey Ford and Kavanaugh reflect the difficulty in reaching a verdict on the midterms and the danger of using polls as predictions.

NPR’s resulting headlines based on the survey appear to contradict each other, with one asserting “Amid Kavanaugh Confirmation Battle, Democratic Enthusiasm Edge Evaporates,” while the other notes, “More Believe Ford Than Kavanaugh, A Cultural Shift From 1991.”

The article goes on to state the following:

The devil is in the details. A trained professional eye can make sense of data that confuses lay people. Only if you do a deep dive into the data that produce the headlines, is it possible to fit the pieces of a jigsaw puzzle together.

The NPR/PBS survey does indicate that voters were more likely to believe Ford (45 percent) than Kavanaugh (33 percent). This represents a sharp spike in Ford’s credibility compared to what it was before the hearings (32 percent).

The credibility gap also indicates that there has been a significant cultural shift since the 1991 Senate hearings over sexual misconduct that culminated in the confirmation of Clarence Thomas to the Supreme Court.

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5 COMMENTS

  1. Pay no attention to any poll until two days before the election. Until that time these pollsters produce the wishes, not results, of those who pay them. Two days before the election they quit playing the game as they do not want to go down as one of the discredited pollsters and, as a result, most (about 2!) will start reporting more accurate and honest results so that they can then scam future clients in the next election.

  2. If the polling agency does not get the desired results, they re-phrase the ???. My brother works for one of the major agency’s and they do this all the time. They never tell you the ?, only the results. That is like saying you just made 100.00 dollars but I don’t tell you how.

  3. I don’t believe the poll any more. Remember what was the poll in 2016 election prediction ? Nearly all the polls prediction Hillary won the election .But she lost !!, with the big slide for her and R.Trump won a big margin.I think Republican Party will win this time with the big margin too.and Democrats will fall down !

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