After a series of positive reports showing an upward trend in Trump’s approval, the latest poll, taken before the failure of the GOP’s healthcare proposal in the Senate, shows the president’s rating has taken a turn for the worse.
Republicans mark the only demographic in which Trump’s approval remains strong, at 83 percent. But at 40 percent, his approval rating among Independents has weakened, as well as among black and Latino voters, at 12 and 32 percent respectively. Fifty-four percent of white voters approve of Trump’s job, thus far.
Overall, the Harvard-Harris poll shows a Trump approval rating of 44 percent, down 4 points from June and lower than the previous low of 45 percent recorded in May. Making the projection even gloomier is the fact that the poll was taken prior to the Senate GOP’s failure to pass a healthcare bill.
Pollster Mark Penn says the biggest takeaway from these most recent numbers is still the huge racial divide.
“There is an extreme racial divide on Trump approval, as a majority of white voters approve of the job he has done while almost nine in 10 blacks disapprove,” said Penn, the Harvard–Harris Poll co-director.
The economy and fighting terrorism remain the president’s strongest policy sectors, while immigration, foreign affairs, and administering government remain his weakest. Naturally, only 41 percent approve of the president personally.
Penn notes that the president’s temperament really isn’t a positive indicator for any demographic, as those who approve of him do so because of his policies and those who disapprove of him turn to his style. The majority of people who say the president is on “the right track” cited his policies as their reason, while 77 percent of those who said he was on “the wrong track” cited his unstable personality. Forty-one percent are reported to believe the president is on the right track, opposite 59 percent who said they believe Trump to be on the wrong track.
“People who support the president support his policies; people who think the administration is on the wrong track dislike his personal style and want him to tone it down,” said Penn.
Neither Party in Congress is popular but the Republicans have it markedly worse, with a 67 percent disapproval rate to the Democrats’ 59.
“The division in the administration has hurt the president while the division in the Republican Party has hurt the Republicans,” Penn said. “They have created their own version of gridlock. But Democrats are far from majority support, as well as the country favors bipartisan action.”
A mere 32 percent reported seeing the country as a whole to be on the right track which is interestingly juxtaposed with 44 percent saying they see the economy to be on the right track. Penn says this is rather peculiar.
“It’s rare for voters to see the economy on the right track but the administration so much on the wrong track,” Penn said.
As far as Russia goes, the numbers remain roughly the same.
“The Donald Trump Jr. revelations did not change any minds on impeachment — it’s still 4 in 10, including most Democrats,” Penn said.
The Harvard-Harris Poll online survey of 2,051 registered voters was conducted between July 19 and July 24. The partisan breakdown is 37 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican, 27 percent Independent and 4 percent other.
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