Yesterday, during his Facebook Live event, Dennis Michael Lynch told his audience: “I’ve been told by a source that Trump will pull ahead in a major national poll on Tuesday.” You can watch it here for yourself.
For the first time since May, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll Tuesday morning shows Republican nominee Donald Trump is now ahead of Hillary Clinton by one point nationwide.
Trump has 46 percent support from voters, compared to 45 percent for Clinton.
Since the re-opening of the FBI investigation into Clinton’s email case, voter enthusiasm for her has declined, according to the poll.
Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But, compared to past elections it’s low for both of them –- 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton.
Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday. This is possibly an after-effect of the renewed controversy over her use of a private email server while secretary of state. Trump’s strong enthusiasm has held steady in tracking, which started Oct. 20.
One factor that has benefited Trump is the consolidation among Republicans and right-leaning independents toward Trump, as well as an increase in the “pure independents” who have moved over to support him.
Hurting Clinton is the weak early voter turnout among African Americans. In Florida, the number of early black voters is only 55 percent of what it was in 2012, according to Politico. However, compared to 2012, the Hispanic early voter turnout is “off the charts” in Florida.
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